Meebo

Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Brian Burke and His Draft History vs. The Pittsburgh Model

Burke quotes from PuckDaddy
"They got a lottery. They won a god damn lottery and they got the best player in the game. Is that available to me? Should we do that? Should we ask the League to have a lottery this year, and maybe we pick first? The Pittsburgh model? My ass. They got the best player in the game in a lottery. Ray Shero's done a good job. He's an excellent GM and he's a friend of mine. But I love when people talk about the Pittsburgh model. The simple fact is that they got the best player … we came in second that year in Anaheim. We got Bobby Ryan. Impact player, good player. They got Sidney Crosby in the lottery."
This got me thinking... if Burke doesn't think "The Pittsburgh Model" is a model, then what kind of strategy does he take?

Let's take a look at his drafting history (H/T: HockeyDB's draft pages):

Hartford Whalers 1992 (hired just before draft)
First round - Robert Petrovicky - 208 games, 65 points
Second round - Andrei Nikolishin - 628 games, 280 points
Third round - Jan Vopat - 126 games, 31 points
Fourth round - Kevin Smyth - 58 games, 14 points
Fourth round - Jason McBain - 9 games, 0 points
Sixth round - Jarrett Reid - 0 games, 0 points
Seventh round - Ken Belanger - 248 games, 23 points
Eighth round - Konstantin Korotkov - 0 games, 0 points
Ninth round - Greg Zwakman - 0 games, 0 points
Tenth round - Steve Halko - 155 games, 15 points
Eleventh round - Joakim Esbjors - 0 games, 0 points

Whalers 1993 (fired shortly after draft)
First round - Chris Pronger - 1154 games, 686 points
Third round - Marek Malik - 691 games, 198 points
Fourth round - Trevor Roenick - 0 games, 0 points
Fifth round - Nolan Pratt - 592 games, 65 points
Eighth round - Manny Legace - 365 games, .912 save %
Ninth round - Dmitri Gorenko - 0 games, 0 points
Tenth round - Wes Swinson - 0 games, 0 points
11th round - Igor Chibirev - 45 games, 19 points

Vancouver Canucks 1998 (hired just before draft)
First round - Bryan Allen - 519 games, 104 points
Second round - Artem Chubarov - 228 games, 58 points
Third round - Jarkko Ruutu - 652 games, 142 points
Third round - Justin Morrison - 0 games, 0 points
Fourth round - Regan Darby - 0 games, 0 points
Fifth round - David Jonsson - 0 games, 0 points
Fifth round - Rick Bertran - 0 games, 0 points
Sixth round - Paul Cabana - 0 games, 0 points
Seventh round - Vince Malts - 0 games, 0 points
Eighth round - Graig Mischler - 0 games, 0 points
Eighth round - Curtis Valentine - 0 games, 0 points
Ninth round - Jason Metcalfe - 0 games, 0 points

Canucks 1999 (BEST DRAFT for obvious reasons)
First round - Daniel Sedin - 787 games, 651 points
First round - Henrik Sedin - 810 games, 666 points
Third round - Rene Vydareny - 0 games, 0 points
Fifth round - Ryan Thorpe - 0 games, 0 points
Sixth round - Josh Reed - 0 games, 0 points
Seventh round - Kevin Swanson - 0 games, 0 points
Eighth round - Markus Kankaanpera - 0 games, 0 points
Ninth round - Darrell Hay - 0 games, 0 points

Canucks 2000
First round - Nathan Smith - 26 games, 0 points
Third round - Thatcher Bell - 0 games, 0 points
Third round - Tim Branham - 0 games, 0 points
Fifth round - Pavel Duma - 0 games, 0 points
Seventh round - Brandon Reid - 13 games, 6 points
Eighth round - Nathan Barrett - 0 games, 0 points
Ninth round - Tim Smith - 0 games, 0 points

Canucks 2001 (not too shabby)
First round - R.J. Umberger - 474 games, 274 points
Third round - Fedor Fedorov - 18 games, 2 points
Fourth round - Evgeny Gladskikh - 0 games, 0 points
Fifth round - Kevin Bieksa - 347 games, 147 points
Seventh round - Jason King - 59 games, 23 points
Eighth round - Konstantin Mikhailov - 0 games, 0 points


Canucks 2002 (terrible, 12 total games played)
Second round - Kirill Koltsov - 0 games, 0 points
Second round - Denis Grot - 0 games, 0 points
Third round - Brett Skinner - 11 games, 0 points
Third round - Lukas Mensator - 0 games, 0 points
Fourth round - John Laliberte - 0 games, 0 points
Fifth round - Rob McVicar - 1 games, 0.00 save% (played 3 minutes)
Seventh round - Marc-Andre Roy - 0 games, 0 points
Seventh round - Ilya Krikunov - 0 games, 0 points
Eighth round - Matt Violin - 0 games, 0 points
Eighth round - Thomas Nussli - 0 games, 0 points
Ninth round - Matt Gens - 0 games, 0 points

Canucks 2003
First round - Ryan Kesler - 484 games, 288 points
Second round - Marc-Andre Bernier - 0 games, 0 points
Fourth round - Ty Morris - 0 games, 0 points
Fourth round - Brandon Nolan - 6 games, 1 point
Fifth round - Nicklas Danielsson - 0 games, 0 points
Sixth round - Chad Brownlee - 0 games, 0 points
Seventh round - Francois-Pierre Guenette - 0 games, 0 points
Eighth round - Nathan McIver - 36 games, 1 point
Eighth round - Sergei Topol - 0 games, 0 points
Ninth round - Matthew Hansen - 0 games, 0 points

Anaheim Ducks 2005 (Crosby year)
First round - Bobby Ryan - 250 games, 202 points
Second round - Brendan Mikkelson - 86 games, 6 points
Third round - Jason Bailey - 0 games, 0 points
Fifth round - Bobby Bolt - 0 games, 0 points
Fifth round - Brian Salcido - 2 games, 1 points
Seventh round - Jean-Philippe Levasseur - 0 games, 0 points

Ducks 2006
First round - Mark Mitera - 0 games, 0 points
Second round - Bryce Swan - 0 games, 0 points
Third round - John de Gray - 0 games, 0 points
Fourth round - Matt Beleskey - 97 games, 28 points
Sixth round - Petteri Wirtanen - 3 games, 1 point

Ducks 2007
First round - Logan MacMillan - 0 games, 0 points
Second round - Eric Tangradi - 16 games, 3 points
Third round - Maxime Macenauer - 0 games, 0 points
Fourth round - Justin Vaive - 0 games, 0 points
Fourth round - Steven Kampfer - 38 games, 10 points
Fourth round - Sebastian Stefaniszin - 0 games, 0 points
Fourth round - Mattias Modig - 0 games, 0 points
Fifth round - Brett Morrison - 0 games, 0 points

Ducks 2008 (DEEP draft)
First round - Jake Gardiner - 0 games, 0 points
Second round - Nicolas Deschamps - 0 games, 0 points
Second round - Eric O'Dell - 0 games, 0 points
Second round - Justin Schultz - 0 games, 0 points
Third round - Josh Brittain - 0 games, 0 points
Third round - Marco Cousineau - 0 games, 0 points
Third round - Brandon McMillan - 60 games, 21 points
Fourth round - Ryan Hegarty - 0 games, 0 points
Fifth round - Stefan Warg - 0 games, 0 points
Seventh round - Nick Pryor - 0 games, 0 point

You get the picture...

The Penguins Model is going deep in the draft and it has proven to work for them.  Brian Burke's model is to draft terribly.  Besides his picks in Pronger, the Sedins, Kesler, and Ryan, he has failed miserably in the draft.

Maybe instead of complaining about the Penguins winning a lottery for Crosby, Mr. Burke should worry more about his own talent evaluation and attempt to go deeper in the draft.

The Pittsburgh Model:
Adams: 9th round
Asham: 3rd round
Cooke: 6th round
Crosby: 1st round (1st overall)
Dupuis: Undrafted
Engelland: 6th round
Fleury: 1st round (1st overall)
Jeffrey: 6th round
Johnson: 5th round
Kennedy: 4th round
Kunitz: Undrafted
Letang: 3rd round
Lovejoy: Undrafted
Malkin: 1st round (2nd overall)
Martin: 2nd round
Michalek: Undrafted
Neal: 2nd round
Niskanen: 1st round
Orpik: 1st round
Park: 2nd round
Staal: 1st round (2nd overall)
Sullivan: 9th round
Tangradi: 2nd round
Vitale: 7th round

I rest my case, Mr. Burke.

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